From Electoral Vote:
Democrats have a tendency to panic early and panic often and are certainly doing that now, although in late May 2008 Obama’s lead over Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) was about the same as Clinton’s is over Trump now.
Although, perhaps we wouldn’t have to worry so much if the Republican candidate wasn’t a threat to so many different groups of people.
Or the geese are cooked. Despite how you look at it, some kind of culinary metaphor seems fitting.
With Ted Cruz and John Kasich ending their bid to become the Republican nominee, the slight chance of Donald Trump losing the nomination have vanished. At the same time, the Democratic nomination has been finished for a while now.
The only thing left to be done on the Democratic side is for the news media to move on to a different story. It could take the media a while to find a story better than the Democratic nomination process. After all, the media has a 24 hour a day, 7 day a week schedule to fill and very little other news to generate the interest that is necessary to fill the dead air. That makes the Democratic “horse race” – even if it is as firmly decided as the Republican nominating race – the only game remaining in town.
It is still too early for the general election polling to have all that much value. Granted, it will give some indications of what each candidate will need to do between now and November, but these will be slow, plodding changes that won’t excite many people’s interest for several months now.
I am going to try to take advantage of this lull in the political storm to begin gathering the information necessary to complete my general election model.
- New approach to campaign add effectiveness
- Gender issues hurt Trump, fail to help Clinton
- Bernie Sanders tries to stay relevant
- Bernie Sanders hopes to change the rules in his favor
- Undated model predictions for upcoming Democratic primaries
Continue reading May 2 2016 shorts
Several stories and opinions in one post.
Continue reading April 30 2016 Shorts
The Democrats are trying to renew the push to amend the Civil Rights Act of 1964. This, of course, would be an easy way to provide relief for members of the LGBT community as they face discrimination in various locations around the United States.
From the Huffington Post:
House Democrats held a press conference Thursday reminding everyone that there’s an easy way to end these problems: Pass the Equality Act, which would extend federal nondiscrimination protections to LGBT people and make the state-level fights into non-issues.
The bill would amend the Civil Rights Act of 1964 to add sexual orientation and gender identity to the list of already protected classes (race, color, sex, religion and national origin).
In other words, it would protect LGBT people from discrimination in credit, education, employment, housing, federal financial assistance, jury service and public accommodations.
It’s a wonderful idea. It is also a need that will continue as long as there are people waiting for any excuse to discriminate against minorities – regardless of whether that minority is a person of color, a member of the LGBT, a woman, or some other characteristic that makes up the tapestry of America.
But that has to be done at the federal level. Something that we can all do is vote for Democrats. The Democratic party, for the most part, supports the rights of minorities. The more Democrats, the better chance of limiting the discrimination that can be written into law.
About the asymmetric divisions between the Democratic party and the Republican party. A valuable read to anyone that wants to understand American politics.